4 LETS Forecast: Learning Embedology for Time Series Forecasting Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many existing approaches do not explicitly model the dynamics. To bridge this gap, we introduce DeepEDM, a framework that integrates nonlinear dynamical systems modeling with deep neural networks. Inspired by empirical dynamic modeling (EDM) and rooted in Takens' theorem, DeepEDM presents a novel deep model that learns a latent space from time-delayed embeddings, and employs kernel regression to approximate the underlying dynamics, while leveraging efficient implementation of softmax attention and allowing for accurate prediction of future time steps. To evaluate our method, we conduct comprehensive experiments on synthetic data of nonlinear dynamical systems as well as real-world time series across domains. Our results show that DeepEDM is robust to input noise, and outperforms state-of-the-art methods in forecasting accuracy. Our code is available at: https://abrarmajeedi.github.io/deep_edm. 5 authors · Jun 6, 2025 4
2 Classification of BCI-EEG based on augmented covariance matrix Objective: Electroencephalography signals are recorded as a multidimensional dataset. We propose a new framework based on the augmented covariance extracted from an autoregressive model to improve motor imagery classification. Methods: From the autoregressive model can be derived the Yule-Walker equations, which show the emergence of a symmetric positive definite matrix: the augmented covariance matrix. The state-of the art for classifying covariance matrices is based on Riemannian Geometry. A fairly natural idea is therefore to extend the standard approach using these augmented covariance matrices. The methodology for creating the augmented covariance matrix shows a natural connection with the delay embedding theorem proposed by Takens for dynamical systems. Such an embedding method is based on the knowledge of two parameters: the delay and the embedding dimension, respectively related to the lag and the order of the autoregressive model. This approach provides new methods to compute the hyper-parameters in addition to standard grid search. Results: The augmented covariance matrix performed noticeably better than any state-of-the-art methods. We will test our approach on several datasets and several subjects using the MOABB framework, using both within-session and cross-session evaluation. Conclusion: The improvement in results is due to the fact that the augmented covariance matrix incorporates not only spatial but also temporal information, incorporating nonlinear components of the signal through an embedding procedure, which allows the leveraging of dynamical systems algorithms. Significance: These results extend the concepts and the results of the Riemannian distance based classification algorithm. 2 authors · Feb 9, 2023
- Approximating the Convex Hull via Metric Space Magnitude Magnitude of a finite metric space and the related notion of magnitude functions on metric spaces is an active area of research in algebraic topology. Magnitude originally arose in the context of biology, where it represents the number of effective species in an environment; when applied to a one-parameter family of metric spaces tX with scale parameter t, the magnitude captures much of the underlying geometry of the space. Prior work has mostly focussed on properties of magnitude in a global sense; in this paper we restrict the sets to finite subsets of Euclidean space and investigate its individual components. We give an explicit formula for the corrected inclusion-exclusion principle, and define a quantity associated with each point, called the moment which gives an intrinsic ordering to the points. We exploit this in order to form an algorithm which approximates the convex hull. 3 authors · Aug 7, 2019
- Complements of finite unions of convex sets Finite unions of convex sets are a central object of study in discrete and computational geometry. In this paper we initiate a systematic study of complements of such unions -- i.e., sets of the form S=R^d setminus (cup_{i=1}^n K_i), where K_i are convex sets. In the first part of the paper we study isolated points in S, whose number is related to the Betti numbers of cup_{i=1}^n K_i and to its non-convexity properties. We obtain upper bounds on the number of such points, which are sharp for n=3 and significantly improve previous bounds of Lawrence and Morris (2009) for all n ll 2^d{d}. In the second part of the paper we study coverings of S by well-behaved sets. We show that S can be covered by at most g(d,n) flats of different dimensions, in such a way that each x in S is covered by a flat whose dimension equals the `local dimension' of S in the neighborhood of x. Furthermore, we determine the structure of a minimum cover that satisfies this property. Then, we study quantitative aspects of this minimum cover and obtain sharp upper bounds on its size in various settings. 2 authors · Aug 26, 2025
- Volumes of Nullhomotopies in Nilpotent Spaces The Shadowing Principle of Manin has proved a valuable tool for addressing questions of quantitative topology raised by Gromov in the late 1900s. The principle informally provides a way for bounded algebraic maps between differential graded algebras to be translated into nearby genuine maps between their geometric realizations. We extend this principle to finite towers of principal K(G,n) fibrations, and in particular apply this construction to nilpotent spaces. As a specific application of the extended principle, we provide upper bounds on the asymptotic behavior of volumes of nullhomotopies of Lipschitz maps into nilpotent spaces. We further refine these bounds in the case when c = 1 to nearly meet those of the simply connected setting. We similarly refine these bounds in the event the target space is coformal, and demonstrate that the bounds in this setting are nearly sharp. 1 authors · Sep 30, 2025
- First Integrals of Geodesic Flows on Cones In this paper we study the behavior of geodesics on cones over arbitrary C^3-smooth closed Riemannian manifolds. We show that the geodesic flow on such cones admits first integrals whose values uniquely determine almost all geodesics except for cone generatrices. This investigation is inspired by our results on billiards inside cones over manifolds where similar results hold true. 2 authors · Nov 3, 2025
- Classifying Clustering Schemes Many clustering schemes are defined by optimizing an objective function defined on the partitions of the underlying set of a finite metric space. In this paper, we construct a framework for studying what happens when we instead impose various structural conditions on the clustering schemes, under the general heading of functoriality. Functoriality refers to the idea that one should be able to compare the results of clustering algorithms as one varies the data set, for example by adding points or by applying functions to it. We show that within this framework, one can prove a theorems analogous to one of J. Kleinberg, in which for example one obtains an existence and uniqueness theorem instead of a non-existence result. We obtain a full classification of all clustering schemes satisfying a condition we refer to as excisiveness. The classification can be changed by varying the notion of maps of finite metric spaces. The conditions occur naturally when one considers clustering as the statistical version of the geometric notion of connected components. By varying the degree of functoriality that one requires from the schemes it is possible to construct richer families of clustering schemes that exhibit sensitivity to density. 2 authors · Nov 23, 2010
- The Minkowski Billiard Characterization of the EHZ-capacity of Convex Lagrangian Products We rigorously state the connection between the EHZ-capacity of convex Lagrangian products Ktimes TsubsetR^ntimesR^n and the minimal length of closed (K,T)-Minkowski billiard trajectories. This connection was made explicit for the first time by Artstein-Avidan and Ostrover under the assumption of smoothness and strict convexity of both K and T. We prove this connection in its full generality, i.e., without requiring any conditions on the convex bodies K and T. This prepares the computation of the EHZ-capacity of convex Lagrangian products of two convex polytopes by using discrete computational methods. 1 authors · Mar 3, 2022
- Product representation of perfect cubes Let F_{k,d}(n) be the maximal size of a set {A}subseteq [n] such that the equation \[a_1a_2\dots a_k=x^d, \; a_1<a_2<\ldots<a_k\] has no solution with a_1,a_2,ldots,a_kA and integer x. Erdos, S\'ark\"ozy and T. S\'os studied F_{k,2}, and gave bounds when k=2,3,4,6 and also in the general case. We study the problem for d=3, and provide bounds for k=2,3,4,6 and 9, furthermore, in the general case, as well. In particular, we refute an 18 years old conjecture of Verstra\"ete. We also introduce another function f_{k,d} closely related to F_{k,d}: While the original problem requires a_1, ldots , a_k to all be distinct, we can relax this and only require that the multiset of the a_i's cannot be partitioned into d-tuples where each d-tuple consists of d copies of the same number. 5 authors · May 20, 2024
- Combining relatively hyperbolic groups over a complex of groups Given a complex of groups G(Y) = (G_sigma, psi_a, g_{a,b}) where all G_sigma are relatively hyperbolic, the psi_a are inclusions of full relatively quasiconvex subgroups, and the universal cover X is CAT(0) and delta--hyperbolic, we show pi_1(G(Y)) is relatively hyperbolic. The proof extends the work of Dahmani and Martin by constructing a model for the Bowditch boundary of pi_1(G(Y)). We prove the model is a compact metrizable space on which G acts as a geometrically finite convergence group, and a theorem of Yaman then implies the result. More generally, this model shows how any suitable action of a relatively hyperbolic group on a simply connected cell complex encodes a decomposition of the Bowditch boundary into the boundary of the cell complex and the boundaries of cell stabilizers. We hope this decomposition will be helpful in answering topological questions about Bowditch boundaries. 1 authors · Oct 2, 2025
1 Geometry of Sample Spaces In statistics, independent, identically distributed random samples do not carry a natural ordering, and their statistics are typically invariant with respect to permutations of their order. Thus, an n-sample in a space M can be considered as an element of the quotient space of M^n modulo the permutation group. The present paper takes this definition of sample space and the related concept of orbit types as a starting point for developing a geometric perspective on statistics. We aim at deriving a general mathematical setting for studying the behavior of empirical and population means in spaces ranging from smooth Riemannian manifolds to general stratified spaces. We fully describe the orbifold and path-metric structure of the sample space when M is a manifold or path-metric space, respectively. These results are non-trivial even when M is Euclidean. We show that the infinite sample space exists in a Gromov-Hausdorff type sense and coincides with the Wasserstein space of probability distributions on M. We exhibit Fr\'echet means and k-means as metric projections onto 1-skeleta or k-skeleta in Wasserstein space, and we define a new and more general notion of polymeans. This geometric characterization via metric projections applies equally to sample and population means, and we use it to establish asymptotic properties of polymeans such as consistency and asymptotic normality. 4 authors · Oct 15, 2020
- A localized approach to generalized Turán problems Generalized Tur\'an problems ask for the maximum number of copies of a graph H in an n-vertex, F-free graph, denoted by ex(n,H,F). We show how to extend the new, localized approach of Bradac, Malec, and Tompkins to generalized Tur\'{a}n problems. We weight the copies of H (typically taking H=K_t), instead of the edges, based on the size of the largest clique, path, or star containing the vertices of the copy of H, and in each case prove a tight upper bound on the sum of the weights. A consequence of our new localized theorems is an asymptotic determination of ex(n,H,K_{1,r}) for every H having at least one dominating vertex and mex(m,H,K_{1,r}) for every H having at least two dominating vertices. 2 authors · Jan 13, 2023
- On cusp holonomies in strictly convex projective geometry We give a complete characterization of the holonomies of strictly convex cusps and of round cusps in convex projective geometry. We build families of generalized cusps of non-maximal rank associated to each strictly convex or round cusp. We also extend Ballas-Cooper-Leitner's definition of generalized cusp to allow for virtually solvable fundamental group, and we produce the first such example with non-virtually nilpotent fundamental group. Along with a companion paper, this allows to build strictly convex cusps and generalized cusps whose fundamental group is any finitely generated virtually nilpotent group. This also has interesting consequences for the theory of relatively Anosov representations. 1 authors · Nov 28, 2025
- A Conceptual Introduction to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo Hamiltonian Monte Carlo has proven a remarkable empirical success, but only recently have we begun to develop a rigorous understanding of why it performs so well on difficult problems and how it is best applied in practice. Unfortunately, that understanding is confined within the mathematics of differential geometry which has limited its dissemination, especially to the applied communities for which it is particularly important. In this review I provide a comprehensive conceptual account of these theoretical foundations, focusing on developing a principled intuition behind the method and its optimal implementations rather of any exhaustive rigor. Whether a practitioner or a statistician, the dedicated reader will acquire a solid grasp of how Hamiltonian Monte Carlo works, when it succeeds, and, perhaps most importantly, when it fails. 1 authors · Jan 9, 2017
- On the Hasse principle for divisibility in elliptic curves Let p be a prime number and n a positive integer. Let E be an elliptic curve defined over a number field k. It is known that the local-global divisibility by p holds in E/k, but for powers of p^n counterexamples may appear. The validity or the failing of the Hasse principle depends on the elliptic curve E and the field k and, consequently, on the group Gal(k(E[p^n])/k). For which kind of these groups does the principle hold? For which of them can we find a counterexample? The answer to these questions was known for n=1,2, but for ngeq 3 they were still open. We show some conditions on the generators of Gal(k(E[p^n])/k) implying an affirmative answer to the local-global divisibility by p^n in E over k, for every ngeq 2. We also prove that these conditions are necessary by producing counterexamples in the case when they do not hold. These last results generalize to every power p^n, a result obtained by Ranieri for n=2. 2 authors · Nov 3, 2025
- An addendum on the Mathieu Conjecture for SU(N), Sp(N) and G_2 In this paper, we sharpen results obtained by the author in 2023. The new results reduce the Mathieu Conjecture on SU(N) (formulated for all compact connected Lie groups by O. Mathieu in 1997) to a conjecture involving only functions on R^ntimes (S^1)^m with n,m non-negative integers instead of involving functions on R^ntimes (S^1setminus{1})^m. The proofs rely on a more recent work of the author (2024) and a specific KAK decomposition. Finally, with these results we can also improve the results on the groups Sp(N) and G_2 in the latter paper, since they relied on the construction introduced in the 2023 paper. 1 authors · Apr 2, 2025
- A link between covering and coefficient theorems for holomorphic functions Recently the author presented a new approach to solving the coefficient problems for various classes of holomorphic functions f(z) = sumlimits_0^infty c_n z^n, not necessarily univalent. This approach is based on lifting the given polynomial coefficient functionals J(f) = J(c_{m_1}, dots, c_{m_s}), 2 < c_{m_1} < dots < c_{m_s} < infty, onto the Bers fiber space over universal Teichmuller space and applying the analytic and geometric features of Teichm\"{u}ller spaces, especially the Bers isomorphism theorem for Teichmuller spaces of punctured Riemann surfaces. In this paper, we extend this approach to more general classes of functions. In particular, this provides a strengthening of de Branges' theorem solving the Bieberbach conjecture. 1 authors · Apr 1, 2025
- De Finetti's construction as a categorical limit This paper reformulates a classical result in probability theory from the 1930s in modern categorical terms: de Finetti's representation theorem is redescribed as limit statement for a chain of finite spaces in the Kleisli category of the Giry monad. This new limit is used to identify among exchangeable coalgebras the final one. 2 authors · Mar 4, 2020
1 A micro Lie theory for state estimation in robotics A Lie group is an old mathematical abstract object dating back to the XIX century, when mathematician Sophus Lie laid the foundations of the theory of continuous transformation groups. As it often happens, its usage has spread over diverse areas of science and technology many years later. In robotics, we are recently experiencing an important trend in its usage, at least in the fields of estimation, and particularly in motion estimation for navigation. Yet for a vast majority of roboticians, Lie groups are highly abstract constructions and therefore difficult to understand and to use. This may be due to the fact that most of the literature on Lie theory is written by and for mathematicians and physicists, who might be more used than us to the deep abstractions this theory deals with. In estimation for robotics it is often not necessary to exploit the full capacity of the theory, and therefore an effort of selection of materials is required. In this paper, we will walk through the most basic principles of the Lie theory, with the aim of conveying clear and useful ideas, and leave a significant corpus of the Lie theory behind. Even with this mutilation, the material included here has proven to be extremely useful in modern estimation algorithms for robotics, especially in the fields of SLAM, visual odometry, and the like. Alongside this micro Lie theory, we provide a chapter with a few application examples, and a vast reference of formulas for the major Lie groups used in robotics, including most jacobian matrices and the way to easily manipulate them. We also present a new C++ template-only library implementing all the functionality described here. 3 authors · Dec 4, 2018
1 Geometry on the Wasserstein space over a compact Riemannian manifold We will revisit the intrinsic differential geometry of the Wasserstein space over a Riemannian manifold, due to a series of papers by Otto, Villani, Lott, Ambrosio, Gigli, Savar\'e and so on. 2 authors · Apr 2, 2021
- Input Convex Gradient Networks The gradients of convex functions are expressive models of non-trivial vector fields. For example, Brenier's theorem yields that the optimal transport map between any two measures on Euclidean space under the squared distance is realized as a convex gradient, which is a key insight used in recent generative flow models. In this paper, we study how to model convex gradients by integrating a Jacobian-vector product parameterized by a neural network, which we call the Input Convex Gradient Network (ICGN). We theoretically study ICGNs and compare them to taking the gradient of an Input-Convex Neural Network (ICNN), empirically demonstrating that a single layer ICGN can fit a toy example better than a single layer ICNN. Lastly, we explore extensions to deeper networks and connections to constructions from Riemannian geometry. 3 authors · Nov 23, 2021